Live today · MLB & NFL

We outperform
Vegas odds
with data.

T|T is a sharp MLB and NFL model that finds genuine edges the books miss — pitcher match-ups, bullpen state, park factors, QB matchups, EPA, and line movement. Not gut feelings. Edges.

Every game. Every edge.
Every morning.

Pro members see all picks, full AI breakdowns, and edge scores for every game on the board.

T|T
Home
Games
Portfolio
MLBValue
Yankees @ Red Sox
Take Yankees -118 · +4.2%
MLBSolid
Dodgers @ Padres
Take Dodgers -132 · +3.1%
PRO ONLY
NFL
Bills @ Dolphins
PRO ONLY
MLB
Cubs @ Cardinals
Unlock all picks for $2/mo
Full breakdowns · edge scores · parlay builder

Built different from the jump

A multi-layer AND-gate filter, tuned per sport. Every condition must pass — one failure means PASS.

01
MLB DATA LAYER
Pitcher-first analysis
Starter ERA, WHIP, innings pitched, and sample size. Plus bullpen ERA and K/9 for the full game — starters get the spotlight, bullpens finish ~40% of outs.
02
NFL DATA LAYER
Matchup + EPA
Team offensive/defensive efficiency (EPA per play), recent form, and Elo ratings feed the model's win probability for moneyline, spread, and total.
03
BOTH SPORTS
Market edge scoring
We compare our model's win probability to the book's implied probability. Only plays with a verified edge after market calibration pass. No phantom edges.
04
MLB DATA LAYER
Park + lineup context
Every MLB pick accounts for park factor, lineup OPS vs pitcher hand, and recent form over the last 10 games. Coors isn't Petco.
05
VERDICT
CLEAN / BET / PASS tiers
CLEAN passes every condition in the AND-gate. BET passes most. PASS is the honest answer when there's no edge. Some days are zero-bet days — that's correct.
06
TRACKER
Personal tracker + P&L
Every pick you save — MLB or NFL — auto-resolves. Real-time P&L in dollars based on your unit size. See your actual edge over time, not just win-loss.
07
AI
Claude AI breakdowns
Every MLB pick has a 2-sentence preview, key deciding factor, main risk, and honest lean. NFL picks show the same underlying model reasoning as plain-English bullets.

Us > Vegas

The book's built-in juice means you need to hit 52.4% just to break even. We aim higher.

BREAK-EVEN NEEDED
T|T
—
VEGAS
52.4%
win rate
MODEL EDGE PER PICK
T|T
+3–5%
VEGAS
0%
vs vig
FILTER LAYERS
T|T
6-layer
VEGAS
1-layer
AND-gate
PICK TRANSPARENCY
T|T
Full
VEGAS
None
every condition shown
Sports betting carries extreme variance — MLB and NFL alike. Even 60% pickers lose stretches. This is a tool for finding edges, not a guarantee. Bet responsibly.

Sharp picks shouldn't
cost sharp money.

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forever
✓1 free pick daily
✓Email digest every morning
✓Model record public stats
PRO MONTHLY
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$2
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✓All picks + full breakdowns
✓Edge scores + variance data
✓CLEAN / BET / PASS filter
✓Parlay builder (CLEAN only)
✓Personal tracker + P&L
PRO ANNUAL
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